Al Jazeera 3-3 Moghayer Al Sarhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazeera EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.56/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.84
-9% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazeera
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.08.2022 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazeera Al Jazeera ÜRD
30.06.2022 Al Jazeera Al Jazeera 0-1 HT 0-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazeera
3-3
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Jazeera vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazeera and Moghayer Al Sarhan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jazeera had 55% of the ball to Moghayer Al Sarhan's 45%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Jazeera and 0.50 for Moghayer Al Sarhan.

What was the final score of Al Jazeera vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Al Jazeera 3-3 Moghayer Al Sarhan in the Jordan - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazeera vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazeera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Jazeera 39%, draw 31%, Moghayer Al Sarhan 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazeera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÜRD More Jordan - Premier League
20 Sep 2024
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