Motherwell 2-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Sep 2024

Motherwell
2-1 HT 1-0
Dundee United
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Motherwell vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
14%
6.29
X/X
13%
4.39
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.89
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motherwell v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 33%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.40/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.48
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Motherwell vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundee United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.76 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 275
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.05.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-2 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
15.04.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.09.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
30.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.02.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP

Motherwell 2-1 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-1
AWAY Dundee United
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
94% Pass Accuracy –
4 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell squeezed past Dundee United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Motherwell found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 59% of the ball to Dundee United's 41%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Motherwell and 1.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Motherwell 2-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 40%, draw 29%, Dundee United 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5
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