Barakaldo vs Gimnastic Tarragona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barakaldo v Gimnastic Tarragona — Team-Based Signals
Barakaldo 2-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Actual Match Statistics
Barakaldo edged past Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barakaldo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Barakaldo had 62% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 38%, shots finished 16-7.
What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Barakaldo 2-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 36%, draw 27%, Gimnastic Tarragona 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.