Napoli (K) 1-0 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.16 xG 3.33
31% Ball Possession 69%
3 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 12
115 Passes 383
51% Pass Accuracy 78%
4 Box Touches 33
4 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-0
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.42 xG 0.85
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
137 Passes 353
52% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) edged past Sassuolo (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 35% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 65%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.42 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Napoli (K) 1-0 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 27%, draw 29%, Sassuolo (K) 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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