Stade Malien Bamako 3-1 Paynesville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Paynesville EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Stade Malien Bamako vs Paynesville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Malien Bamako saw off Paynesville 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stade Malien Bamako as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs Paynesville?

Stade Malien Bamako 3-1 Paynesville in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs Paynesville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 65%, draw 21%, Paynesville 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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