America (K) 5-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.11
Draw
26%
8.78
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
11%
2-3
43%
4-5
30%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
84%
-24.3pp
26%
Draw
8%
+17.7pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH America (K) vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America (K) ran out comfortable winners over Santa Fe 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

What was the final score of America (K) vs Santa Fe?

America (K) 5-0 Santa Fe in the CONK on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America (K) vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a America (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split America (K) 60%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONK More CONK
20 Sep 2024
02:00 Gotham FC (K) vs Monterrey (K) Analysis →