Viborg 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 Sep 2024

Viborg
3-2 HT 3-1
FC Nordsjaelland
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.29
Over 2.5
44%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 26% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.91
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
10%
6.36
X/2
11%
5.36
X/X
17%
5.58
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.09
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.0pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v FC Nordsjaelland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -34%
1.37/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.63
-16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
17.9 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
333 Passes 532
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
22.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
24.07.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 HT 2-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
04.06.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
23.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
12.03.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN

Viborg 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
3-2
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.37 xG 1.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
343 Passes 655
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
16 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg squeezed past FC Nordsjaelland 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Viborg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viborg had 36% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 64%, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 1.37 to 1.98 — on chances, FC Nordsjaelland could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Viborg and 1.67 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Viborg 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Viborg 35%, draw 31%, FC Nordsjaelland 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →