JaPS 2-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.72
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
42%
+7.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.3pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.34/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.61
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.06.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
13.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
19.08.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
07.06.2023 JaPS JaPS 1-3 HT 1-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
06.08.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 3-4 HT 1-3 JaPS JaPS FİN2
03.06.2022 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
2-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JaPS vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS nicked a narrow win over SJK Akatemia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Akatemia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JaPS had 47% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 53%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for JaPS and 2.00 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of JaPS vs SJK Akatemia?

JaPS 2-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JaPS 28%, draw 22%, SJK Akatemia 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SJK Akatemia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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