Nice 8-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 20 Sep 2024

Nice
8-0 HT 6-0
Saint-Etienne
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.35
X/1
19%
3.59
X/2
8%
12.4
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
10%
10.15
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
18.25
Value flag · 2/X at 18.25 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.63/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.83
-34% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.9 Crosses 16.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nice vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
392 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2022 Nice Nice 4-2 HT 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
25.09.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
31.01.2021 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
18.10.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-3 HT 0-2 Nice Nice FR1
04.12.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 4-1 HT 3-1 Nice Nice FR1
18.05.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 8-0 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
8-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
4.73 xG 0.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
618 Passes 389
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice cruised past Saint-Etienne 8-0. Half-time: 6-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nice had 59% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 41%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 4.73 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nice and 1.83 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Nice vs Saint-Etienne?

Nice 8-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nice 49%, draw 28%, Saint-Etienne 23%. The final score 8-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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