Fleury 91 (K) 2-6 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
69%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.89
Over 2.5
72%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
51%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.2pp
18%
Draw
10%
+8.0pp
69%
Away Win
85%
-16.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
31%
-2.6pp
72%
Over 2.5
69%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.38/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.13/0.82
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +101%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 88%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.7
5.0 Crosses 25.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleury 91 (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.12 xG 1.47
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 3
153 Passes 434
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleury 91 (K)
2-6
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.86 xG 3.30
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 28
6 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
168 Passes 566
67% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fleury 91 (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside Fleury 91 (K) 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Fleury 91 (K) had 28% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 72%, shots finished 8-28, expected goals 0.86 to 3.30.

What was the final score of Fleury 91 (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Fleury 91 (K) 2-6 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleury 91 (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Fleury 91 (K) 13%, draw 18%, Lyon (K) 69%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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