Daejeon Korail 0-1 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
0.95/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.32
-22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
03.11.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 3-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
10.06.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
28.08.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
01.05.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
14.08.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City edged past Daejeon Korail 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mokpo City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.00 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City?

Daejeon Korail 0-1 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 37%, draw 26%, Mokpo City 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5
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