AFC Bournemouth U21 2-5 Queens Park Rangers U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.28
No
38%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
74%
-12.5pp
38%
BTTS No
26%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
3.28/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.11
+51% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
499 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
28.02.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-3 HT 0-2 Queens Park Rangers U21 Queens Park Rangers U21 INGPDL
20.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers U21 Queens Park Rangers U21 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers U21 ran out comfortable winners over AFC Bournemouth U21 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Bournemouth U21 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 2.50 for Queens Park Rangers U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 2-5 Queens Park Rangers U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 59%, draw 19%, Queens Park Rangers U21 22%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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