Kedah 2-2 Pahang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 20 Sep 2024

Kedah
2-2 HT 0-0
Pahang
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Malaysia - Super League – 2024/2025

Kedah vs Pahang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kedah v Pahang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedah EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pahang EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.04/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.83
+58% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +71%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kedah vs Pahang Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedah
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pahang
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.86 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
232 Passes 207
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2023 Kedah Kedah 2-0 HT 2-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
01.04.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-1 HT 0-0 Kedah Kedah MALES
06.04.2022 Kedah Kedah 1-0 HT 0-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
01.09.2021 Pahang Pahang 2-2 HT 1-1 Kedah Kedah MALES
02.04.2021 Kedah Kedah 3-1 HT 1-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
26.09.2020 Pahang Pahang 2-1 HT 1-1 Kedah Kedah MALES
POST-MATCH Kedah vs Pahang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedah and Pahang couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kedah at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kedah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kedah and 1.00 for Pahang.

What was the final score of Kedah vs Pahang?

Kedah 2-2 Pahang in the Malaysia - Super League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedah vs Pahang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kedah 41%, draw 28%, Pahang 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kedah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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