Botosani 3-3 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.30/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.50
-16% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Buzau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
19.10.2022 Buzau Buzau 0-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
3-3
AWAY Buzau
1.29 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
378 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botosani vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani and Buzau couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Botosani at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botosani had 58% of the ball to Buzau's 42%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Botosani vs Buzau?

Botosani 3-3 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botosani win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Botosani 48%, draw 30%, Buzau 22%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botosani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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