Hatayspor 0-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Sep 2024

Hatayspor
0-1 HT 0-1
Bodrum FK
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.17
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
3%
14.6
X/1
11%
4.41
X/2
9%
6.45
X/X
14%
3.69
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2 EV+ ✓
21%
5.4
2/X
7%
15.0
Value flag · 2/2 at 5.4 — our 21% vs market 14.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.39/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.89
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.0 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bodrum FK
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
03.03.2018 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-5 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K

Hatayspor 0-1 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
0-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.81 xG 0.78
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
391 Passes 162
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK squeezed past Hatayspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hatayspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hatayspor had 66% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 34%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.81 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK?

Hatayspor 0-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 42%, draw 24%, Bodrum FK 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hatayspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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