Al Nasr 1-2 Saham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.2pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.3pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Saham EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.21/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.96
+48% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Saham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.04.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-1 Saham Saham UMM
22.12.2021 Saham Saham 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Saham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saham edged past Al Nasr 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasr at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nasr and 0.50 for Saham.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Saham?

Al Nasr 1-2 Saham in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Saham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 49%, draw 34%, Saham 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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