Cong An Nhan Dan 0-1 Thanh Hoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
2.54/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.34
+50% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Thanh Hoa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
8 Corners 7
31.03.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-2 HT 0-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
27.02.2024 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 3-1 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
27.08.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
05.06.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-4 HT 1-1 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
0-1
AWAY Thanh Hoa
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cong An Nhan Dan vs Thanh Hoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa squeezed past Cong An Nhan Dan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cong An Nhan Dan at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 65% of the ball to Thanh Hoa's 35%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cong An Nhan Dan and 0.75 for Thanh Hoa.

What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Thanh Hoa?

Cong An Nhan Dan 0-1 Thanh Hoa in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Thanh Hoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 53%, draw 24%, Thanh Hoa 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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