Needham Market 4-1 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -20%
1.83/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.44
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stamford
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 0-3 HT 0-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Stamford Stamford 0-3 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
4-1
AWAY Stamford
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market ran out comfortable winners over Stamford 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Needham Market had 51% of the ball to Stamford's 49%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Needham Market and 1.50 for Stamford.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Stamford?

Needham Market 4-1 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 43%, draw 26%, Stamford 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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