Monza 1-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Sep 2025

Monza
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Sampdoria
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Monza vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.12
Away
22%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.08
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.29
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.82
6+
3%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.56
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
9%
8.21
X/X
20%
3.83
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
11%
7.23
2/X
5%
15.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Monza v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Monza The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Sampdoria The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Monza vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
428 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.02.2023 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
02.10.2022 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-3 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
14.01.2001 Monza Monza 0-4 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB

Monza 1-0 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
1 - 0
AWAY Sampdoria
1.12 xG 1.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
412 Passes 189
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Monza vs Sampdoria
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monza shaded a tight game against Sampdoria 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Monza had 64% of the ball to Sampdoria's 36%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.12 to 1.06.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monza and 2.00 for Sampdoria.

Monza vs Sampdoria Result & Final Score

Monza 1 - 0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monza vs Sampdoria Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monza 49%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
20 Sep 2025
16:00 Reggiana vs Catanzaro Analysis →
16:00 Venezia vs Cesena Analysis →
16:00 Spezia vs Juve Stabia Analysis →
20:30 Mantova vs Modena Analysis →