Sporting Charleroi 1-2 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.66/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.94
-14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.5 Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
21.08.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
10.04.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-0 HT 3-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
22.08.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
07.02.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
13.09.2020 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-2
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
0.79 xG 1.36
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 11
202 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem edged past Sporting Charleroi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 36% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 64%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.79 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.00 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Sporting Charleroi 1-2 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 51%, draw 21%, SV Zulte Waregem 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
20 Sep 2025
17:00 OH Leuven vs La Louvière Analysis →
21:45 Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp Analysis →