FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 BATE II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE II EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.64/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.50
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY BATE II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 BATE II BATE II 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
20.07.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 2-0 BATE II BATE II BLR1
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk squeezed past BATE II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Volna Pinsk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.00 for BATE II.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs BATE II?

FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs BATE II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 47%, draw 20%, BATE II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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