Novorizontino 1-0 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.6
Over
43%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.07
No
51%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.37
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
19%
4.39
6+
9%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club The Market 24%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.11
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.7 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Club
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.12 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
275 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0-2 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-0
AWAY Athletic Club
0.86 xG 0.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 5
355 Passes 253
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 10
40 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Novorizontino vs Athletic Club
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Novorizontino edged past Athletic Club 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 58% of the ball to Athletic Club's 42%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 0.86 to 0.31.

Novorizontino vs Athletic Club Result & Final Score

Novorizontino 1-0 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Novorizontino vs Athletic Club Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 49%, draw 29%, Athletic Club 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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