Porthmadog 1-4 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 20 Sep 2025

Porthmadog
1-4 HT 0-3
Denbigh Town
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2025/2026

Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.28
No
43%
3.32
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Porthmadog v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porthmadog The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town The Market 49%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
– Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better –
– Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better –
– Attackvs comparable teams –
– Defensevs comparable teams –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porthmadog
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
30.09.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 2-1 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
REVIEW Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Denbigh Town made light work of Porthmadog 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Porthmadog and 2.00 for Denbigh Town.

Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town Result & Final Score

Porthmadog 1-4 Denbigh Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Porthmadog 30%, draw 21%, Denbigh Town 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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