Santa Clara 2-1 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.54
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.24
No
56%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.24
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.95
6+
2%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.3
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
20%
3.98
X/2
7%
9.5
X/X
20%
3.86
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
8%
8.69
2/X
5%
17.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Santa Clara The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
Weak Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alverca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.01.2002 Alverca Alverca 3-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
02.09.2001 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 0-1 Alverca Alverca POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
2 - 1
AWAY Alverca
1.89 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
341 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 7
6 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Santa Clara vs Alverca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Santa Clara shaded a tight game against Alverca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 55% to 45% in Santa Clara's favour, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.89 to 0.45 — on chances created, Santa Clara won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Santa Clara against 2.00 for Alverca.

Santa Clara vs Alverca Result & Final Score

Santa Clara 2 - 1 Alverca in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Santa Clara vs Alverca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 54%, draw 29%, Alverca 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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