RSC Anderlecht II 2-1 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-11.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 66%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.99
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
21.7 Crosses 16.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.18 xG 2.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
433 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 0-4 HT 0-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
18.12.2022 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
02.09.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 2-2 HT 0-1 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
2-1
AWAY RWDM 47
1.53 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
311 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH RSC Anderlecht II vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSC Anderlecht II squeezed past RWDM 47 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was RWDM 47 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, RSC Anderlecht II had 49% of the ball to RWDM 47's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RWDM 47 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 2.67 for RWDM 47.

What was the final score of RSC Anderlecht II vs RWDM 47?

RSC Anderlecht II 2-1 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSC Anderlecht II vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split RSC Anderlecht II 25%, draw 24%, RWDM 47 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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