Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 34%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.04/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.33
-11% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-1 HT 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2-3
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis nicked a narrow win over Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kedus Giorgis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 63% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 37%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38%, draw 26%, Kedus Giorgis 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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