Youssoufia Berrechid 0-3 Raja Beni Mellal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Youssoufia Berrechid EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.99/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.16
-27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Youssoufia Berrechid
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
07.10.2020 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 0-2 HT 0-2 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS
25.01.2020 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 2-0 HT 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS
POST-MATCH Youssoufia Berrechid vs Raja Beni Mellal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal swept aside Youssoufia Berrechid 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Youssoufia Berrechid at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Youssoufia Berrechid had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Youssoufia Berrechid and 0.00 for Raja Beni Mellal.

What was the final score of Youssoufia Berrechid vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Youssoufia Berrechid 0-3 Raja Beni Mellal in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Youssoufia Berrechid vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Youssoufia Berrechid win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Youssoufia Berrechid 44%, draw 31%, Raja Beni Mellal 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Youssoufia Berrechid), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Youssoufia Berrechid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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