Leruma United 1-0 Casric Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leruma United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 46%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.00/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.47
-100% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leruma United
1-0
AWAY Casric Stars
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Leruma United vs Casric Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leruma United nicked a narrow win over Casric Stars 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Casric Stars at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leruma United had 41% of the ball to Casric Stars's 59%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Leruma United vs Casric Stars?

Leruma United 1-0 Casric Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leruma United vs Casric Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casric Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leruma United 25%, draw 29%, Casric Stars 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casric Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casric Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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