Gangwon 1-0 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.28
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.84
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
9%
4.68
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 33%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.61/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.28
+129% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
14.6 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
373 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
26.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
19.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
31.03.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
22.10.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
15.07.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
1-0
AWAY FC Seoul
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 Passes 597
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon edged past FC Seoul 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Gangwon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Gangwon had 32% of the ball to FC Seoul's 68%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gangwon and 1.33 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs FC Seoul?

Gangwon 1-0 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 38%, draw 30%, FC Seoul 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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