Mohammedan 1-2 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.27/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.79
-100% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
11.0 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters squeezed past Mohammedan 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Kerala Blasters made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters?

Mohammedan 1-2 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 33%, draw 29%, Kerala Blasters 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerala Blasters) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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