20/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89
— our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
29%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
45%
58%
Under 2.5
45%
42%
Over 2.5
55%
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
51%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mohammedan v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mohammedan
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kerala Blasters
EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% /
-44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
0.27/0.89
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.35/0.79
-100%
/
+56%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
+150%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
272 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 77%
13.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6
11.0
Crosses
19.2
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kerala Blasters squeezed past Mohammedan 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Kerala Blasters made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters?
Mohammedan 1-2 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs Kerala Blasters?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 33%, draw 29%, Kerala Blasters 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerala Blasters) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kerala Blasters)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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