Vukovar 0-1 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.5pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 16%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.60/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.50
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Orijent 1919
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
27.03.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-0 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
11.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 2-0 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
0-1
AWAY Orijent 1919
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orijent 1919 edged past Vukovar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vukovar had 59% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 41%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vukovar and 0.00 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Orijent 1919?

Vukovar 0-1 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 51%, draw 25%, Orijent 1919 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Over 2.5
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