Eastern District 1-2 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

Eastern District
1-2
Sham Shui Po
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2024/2025

Eastern District vs Sham Shui Po Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastern District v Sham Shui Po — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.28/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.00
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
376 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Eastern District vs Sham Shui Po Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.12.2021 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 3-2 HT 3-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2

Eastern District 1-2 Sham Shui Po — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
1-2
AWAY Sham Shui Po
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sham Shui Po edged past Eastern District 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Sham Shui Po found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eastern District had 59% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Sham Shui Po?

Eastern District 1-2 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 36%, draw 23%, Sham Shui Po 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sham Shui Po), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sham Shui Po) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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