Al Arabi 2-0 Al Yarmouk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
31%
2.71
6+ Goals
8%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.0pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.58/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.86
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +28%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Yarmouk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
19.04.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
06.01.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
07.11.2020 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Arabi
2-0
AWAY Al Yarmouk
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Yarmouk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi beat Al Yarmouk 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Arabi had 53% of the ball to Al Yarmouk's 47%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Arabi and 1.00 for Al Yarmouk.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Yarmouk?

Al Arabi 2-0 Al Yarmouk in the Kuwait - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Yarmouk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 60%, draw 24%, Al Yarmouk 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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