Pulau Pinang 0-1 Pahang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pahang EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.19/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.15
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pulau Pinang
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pahang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
14.06.2024 Pahang Pahang 1-1 HT 0-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALEFK
26.11.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 3-2 HT 1-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
20.05.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-0 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
18.08.2022 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 2-3 HT 0-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
23.04.2022 Pahang Pahang 3-1 HT 1-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
05.09.2021 Pahang Pahang 1-2 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
POST-MATCH Pulau Pinang vs Pahang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pahang nicked a narrow win over Pulau Pinang 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Pahang made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pahang led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pulau Pinang and 1.83 for Pahang.

What was the final score of Pulau Pinang vs Pahang?

Pulau Pinang 0-1 Pahang in the Malaysia - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pulau Pinang vs Pahang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pulau Pinang win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pulau Pinang 37%, draw 26%, Pahang 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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