20/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Bornova 1877 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
36%
Draw
24%
40%
Away Win
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor v Bornova 1877 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bornova 1877
EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
11
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
261 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
436 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Bornova 1877
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tokat Bld Plevnespor edged past Bornova 1877 1-0.
Our pre-match split (24% / 36% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tokat Bld Plevnespor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Bornova 1877?
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 Bornova 1877 in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Bornova 1877?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bornova 1877 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokat Bld Plevnespor 24%, draw 36%, Bornova 1877 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bornova 1877) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Bornova 1877)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
S3-1
More Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup
20 Oct 2024