Gorica 1-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.86
Over
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij The Market 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.87/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+20% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aluminij
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2023 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.05.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-1 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN
06.05.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 2-0 HT 2-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
25.02.2021 Gorica Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
29.11.2020 Aluminij Aluminij 2-1 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN
26.09.2020 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
1-1
AWAY Aluminij
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica and Aluminij couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gorica had 45% of the ball to Aluminij's 55%, shots finished 8-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminij led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gorica and 1.33 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Aluminij?

Gorica 1-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gorica 44%, draw 28%, Aluminij 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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