EGS Gafsa 0-2 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.84
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
50%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.33
Over 2.5
41%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
20%
8.17
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
32%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
33%
-6.3pp
50%
Away Win
35%
+15.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
72%
-12.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
28%
+12.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 38%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Olympique Beja
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
14.06.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-2 HT 1-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
14.04.2024 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
30.12.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
08.10.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-0 HT 1-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja beat EGS Gafsa 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympique Beja as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for EGS Gafsa and 0.75 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Olympique Beja?

EGS Gafsa 0-2 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympique Beja win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 23%, draw 27%, Olympique Beja 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympique Beja), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympique Beja) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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