Sur 1-0 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 20 Oct 2024

Sur
1-0
Al Nasr
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Oman - Profesyonel League – 2025/2026

Sur vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
53%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
53%
Away Win
44%
+9.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sur v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sur EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.40/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.74
+51% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sur vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sur
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Nasr
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 0-0 Sur Sur UMM
25.11.2023 Sur Sur 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
17.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 1-0 Sur Sur UMM
09.11.2022 Sur Sur 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
POST-MATCH Sur vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sur nicked a narrow win over Al Nasr 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasr at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sur and 2.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Sur vs Al Nasr?

Sur 1-0 Al Nasr in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sur vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sur 22%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Nasr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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