Degerfors 0-1 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.71
Over
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.84
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
20%
4.24
6+
7%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.45
X/2
11%
7.61
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
6.15
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.63
-27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
26.0 Crosses 19.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Halmstad
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
367 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Halmstad Halmstad 0-5 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
07.10.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
08.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
16.10.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
23.05.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
07.09.2020 Halmstad Halmstad 1-4 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-1
AWAY Halmstad
1.42 xG 0.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
379 Passes 204
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad squeezed past Degerfors 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Degerfors had 61% of the ball to Halmstad's 39%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Degerfors.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Degerfors and 0.50 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Halmstad?

Degerfors 0-1 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 43%, draw 28%, Halmstad 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Degerfors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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