Nancy 0-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Oct 2025

Nancy
0-1 HT 0-1
Amiens SC
📅20/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Nancy vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
13%
4.06
X/2
5%
9.86
X/X
16%
4.98
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
10%
8.3
2/X
5%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Nancy win — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nancy v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.51
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.6 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nancy vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Amiens SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2022 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
29.01.2022 Nancy Nancy 0-2 HT 0-2 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRK
24.09.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
15.05.2021 Nancy Nancy 2-2 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.08.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
30.10.2007 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRLK

Nancy 0-1 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
0-1
AWAY Amiens SC
1.64 xG 1.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC edged past Nancy 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nancy at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nancy had 57% of the ball to Amiens SC's 43%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.64 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nancy and 1.17 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Amiens SC?

Nancy 0-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nancy 54%, draw 26%, Amiens SC 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nancy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5
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