Al Ula 2-1 Diriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2025

Al Ula
2-1 HT 1-0
Diriyah
📅20/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Ula vs Diriyah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ula v Diriyah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ula EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriyah EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Ula vs Diriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ula nicked a narrow win over Diriyah 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Diriyah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Ula vs Diriyah?

Al Ula 2-1 Diriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ula vs Diriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Ula 35%, draw 24%, Diriyah 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriyah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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