Serik Spor 1-2 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.31
1/2
7%
21.8
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
6%
10.45
X/2
19%
4.13
X/X
13%
5.7
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.03
2/X
5%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 62%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
1.02/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.35
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.5 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Spor
1-2
AWAY Amed SK
1.16 xG 1.37
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
179 Passes 424
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Serik Spor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK nicked a narrow win over Serik Spor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Serik Spor had 34% of the ball to Amed SK's 66%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Serik Spor vs Amed SK?

Serik Spor 1-2 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Spor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Serik Spor 24%, draw 23%, Amed SK 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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