Hercules 2-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Nov 2024

Hercules
2-1 HT 1-0
Marbella
📅20/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Hercules vs Marbella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
5.88
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hercules v Marbella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.20/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.46
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hercules 2-1 Marbella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
2-1
AWAY Marbella
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules nicked a narrow win over Marbella 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hercules found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hercules had 40% of the ball to Marbella's 60%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Marbella?

Hercules 2-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hercules 39%, draw 28%, Marbella 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →