Newells Old Boys 2-3 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.31
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
10%
4.85
X/2
11%
5.66
X/X
14%
3.44
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.74
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.95/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.17
-28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.2 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.98 xG 0.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2024 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJK
26.01.2024 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
22.08.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
08.07.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
11.10.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-3 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
24.11.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
2-3
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.40 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
318 Passes 235
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago squeezed past Newells Old Boys 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Central Cordoba Santiago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 56% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.40 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.33 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Newells Old Boys 2-3 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 39%, draw 28%, Central Cordoba Santiago 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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