Briton Ferry 3-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
62%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
4.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
10.2
2-3 Goals
36%
2.59
4-5 Goals
28%
2.34
6+ Goals
15%
3.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+13.9pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.9pp
62%
Away Win
85%
-23.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 91%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.33/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/0.65
+80% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
0W-0D-1L
AWAY The New Saints
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 13
0 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Briton Ferry
3-1
AWAY The New Saints
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry got the better of The New Saints 3-1.

This one beat our numbers. The New Saints carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Briton Ferry had 27% of the ball to The New Saints's 73%, shots finished 6-19.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs The New Saints?

Briton Ferry 3-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 19%, draw 19%, The New Saints 62%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →