Urawa Red (K) 1-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
-6.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.4pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.37/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.28
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +85%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
474 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.05.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1-1
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) and AS Elfen Saitama (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Urawa Red (K) at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 60% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 40%, shots finished 13-2.

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 1-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 69%, draw 18%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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