Uganda Police 0-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+40% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
163 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
0-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda Police and Lugazi Municipal fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Uganda Police at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Uganda Police had 53% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 47%, shots finished 15-16.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Lugazi Municipal?

Uganda Police 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 42%, draw 32%, Lugazi Municipal 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uganda Police) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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