Persijap Jepara 1-2 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persijap Jepara EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 29%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.67/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.57
-53% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persijap Jepara
1-2
AWAY Semen Padang
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Persijap Jepara vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang edged past Persijap Jepara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Persijap Jepara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persijap Jepara had 43% of the ball to Semen Padang's 57%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Persijap Jepara vs Semen Padang?

Persijap Jepara 1-2 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persijap Jepara vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persijap Jepara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Persijap Jepara 47%, draw 30%, Semen Padang 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Persijap Jepara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persijap Jepara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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