Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 2-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.86/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.93
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2025 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR2
08.12.2024 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
2-1
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar edged past Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 37% / 26%) promised a tight game; Ghazl Kafr El Dawar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar had 31% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 69%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar and 0.50 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.

What was the final score of Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 2-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl Kafr El Dawar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 37%, draw 37%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 26%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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