Stockport County 2-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2024

Stockport County
2-1 HT 1-1
Peterborough United
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.38
Over
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
26%
4.73
2-3
40%
1.88
4-5
23%
2.64
6+
11%
6.81
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.73 — our 26% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
5%
11.6
X/X
16%
6.61
2/1
10%
20.4
2/2
12%
8.16
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.93/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.78
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.7 Crosses 21.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Stockport County vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.11.2010 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County FAK
06.11.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United FAK
18.04.2009 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
06.12.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 1-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
12.04.2008 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
03.11.2007 Stockport County Stockport County 1-2 HT 1-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2

Stockport County 2-1 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
2-1
AWAY Peterborough United
1.61 xG 0.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
318 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County squeezed past Peterborough United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stockport County had 47% of the ball to Peterborough United's 53%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.61 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stockport County and 1.83 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Peterborough United?

Stockport County 2-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 50%, draw 27%, Peterborough United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
20 Dec 2024
22:45 Wycombe Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
22:45 Cambridge United vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →